Exploring the Antecedents and Consequences of Illusion of Control in Entrepreneurs

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

1 University of Tehran

2 Faculty of entrepreneurship, university of Tehran

3 organization, Faculty of Entrepreneurship, University of Tehran

Abstract

Decision making is one of the most important entrepreneurial functions achieving business goals and addressing issues. Because of some specific cognitive characteristics on one hand as well as such factors like complexity information overload time pressure and uncertainty on the other hand, entrepreneurs are prone to decision making biases in most of their decisions. Illusion of control is one of the most important entrepreneurial decision making biases that have main effects on entrepreneurial businesses. The purpose of this study was to identify both the most important factors influencing illusion of control as well as its consequences on entrepreneurial decisions. According to the results, which were collected through semi-structured interviews with established high-tech knowledge entrepreneurs in the city of Tehran and analyzed by qualitative content analysis method, three factors of experience, high optimism, and self-confidence were the most influential factors in controlling risk factors. Sufficient and underestimation of competitors are consequences of the illusion of control over the decisions of entrepreneurs.

Keywords


زالی، محمدرضا؛ رضوی، سیدمصطفی؛ یدالهی فارسی، جهانگیر و کردنائیج، اسداله (۱۳۹۱). شبکه اجتماعی کارآفرینان و شاخص‌های دیده‌بان جهانی کارآفرینی (GEM)، تهران، انتشارات مؤسسه کار و تأمین اجتماعی.
نوری، پوریا؛ احمدی کافشانی، عبدالله و ایمانی‌پور، نرگس (1394). شناسایی موقعیت‌های مثبت اعتمادبه‌نفس بیش‌ازاندازه در کارآفرینان ایرانی. توسعه کارآفرینی، دوره هشتم، شماره یکم، 101-117.
Baron, R. A. (1998). Cognitive mechanism in entrepreneurship: Why and when entrepreneurs think differently than other people. Journal of Business Venturing, 13, 275-294.
Busenitz, L.W & Barney, J.B. (1997). Differences between entrepreneurs and managers in large organizations: biases and heuristics in strategic decision–making. Journal of Business Venturing, 12, 9-30.
Camerer, C. & Lovallo, D. (1999). Overconfidence and excess entry: An experimental approach. American Economic Review, 89(1), 306–318.
Carr, J. C. & Blettner, D. P. (2010). Cognitive Control Bias and Decision-Making in Context: Implications for Entrepreneurial Founders of Small Firms. Frontier of Entrepreneurship Research, 30(6), 1–15.
Cossette, (2014) Heuristics and cognitive biases in entrepreneurs: a review of the research. Journal of Small Business & Entrepreneurship, 27:5, 471-496, DOI: 10.1080/ 08276331. 2015.1105732
Creswell, J. W. (2008). Educational research: Planning, conducting, and evaluating quantitative and qualitative research (3rd ed.). Upper Saddle River, NJ: Merrill Prentice Hall.
Creswell, J. W. & Miller, D. L. (2000). Determining Validity in Qualitative Inquiry, Theory into Practice, 39 (3): 124-130
Das, T.K. & Teng, B-S. (1999), “Cognitive biases and strategic decision processes: an integrative perspective”, Journal of Management Studies, Vol. 36 No. 6, pp. 757-79.
De Carolis, D.M., Litzky, B.E. & Eddleston, K.A. (2009). Why networks enhance the progress of new venture creation: The influence of social capital and cognition. Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, 33(2), 527–545.
Elo, S. & Kyngäs, H. (2008). The qualitative content analysis process. Journal of advanced nursing, 62(1), 107-115.
Forbes, D.P. (2005). Are some entrepreneurs more overconfident than others? Journal of Business Venturing, 20(5), 623–640.
Gino, F., Sharek, Z. & Moore, D. A. (2011). Keeping the illusion of control under control: Ceilings, floors, and imperfect calibration. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 114, 104–114
Gudmundsson, S. V. & Lechner, C. (2013). Cognitive biases, organization, and entrepreneurial firm survival. European Management Journal, 31(3), 278–294.
Hayward, M.L., Forster, W.R., Sarasvathy, S.D. & Fredrickson, B.L. (2010). Beyond hubris: How highly confident entrepreneurs rebound to venture again. Journal of Business Venturing, 25(6), 569–578.
Hoffrage, U. (2004). Overconfidence. In R. F. Pohl (Ed.), Cognitive illusions: Fallacies and biases in thinking, judgement, and memory (pp. 235–254). Hove, UK: Psychology Press.
Hsieh, H. F. & Shannon, S. E. (2005). Three approaches to qualitative content analysis. Qualitative health research, 15(9), 1277-1288.
Keh, H.T., Foo, M.D. & Lim, B.C. (2002). Opportunity evaluation under risky conditions: The cognitive processes of entrepreneurs. Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, 27(2), 125–148.
Koellinger, P., Minniti, M. & Schade, C. (2007). I think I can, I think I can: Overconfidence and entrepreneurial behavior. Journal of Economic Psychology, 28(4), 502-527.
Langer, E. J. (1975). The illusion of control. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 32(2), 311–328.
Meissner, P. & Marburg, P. (2013). Debiasing Illusion of Control: The Effect of Internal and External Advice Seeking. 2013 Academy of Management Annual Meeting, 1–39.
Neuendorf, K. (2001). The content analysis guidebook. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage.
Palich, L. E. & Bagby, D. R. (1995). Using cognitive theory to explain entrepreneurial risk-taking: Challenging conventional wisdom. Journal of Business Venturing, 10(6), 425–438.
Presson, P. K. & Benassi, V. A. (1996). The illusion of control: A meta-analysis. Journal of Social Behavior and Personality, 11, 493–510.
Schade, C. & Koellinger, P. (2007). Heuristics, Biases, and the Behavior of Entrepreneurs. In M. Minniti (Ed.), Entrepreneurship: The Engine of Growth (pp. 41–63). Westport: Praeger Publishers.
Schreier, M. (2012). Qualitative content analysis in practice. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage.
Shefrin, H. (2007). Behavioral Corporate Finance. Decisions that Create Value. McGraw- Hill/Irwin. New York.
Shepherd, D.A., Williams, T.A. & Patzelt, H. (2015). Thinking about entrepreneurial decision making: Review and research agenda. Journal of Management, 41(1), 11–46.
Simon, M., Houghton, S. M. & Aquino, K. (2000). Cognitive biases, risk perception, and venture formation: How individuals decide to start companies. Journal of Business Venturing, 15(2), 113–134.
Therin, F. )2007(. Handbook of Research on Techno-entrepreneurship, Edward Elgar.
Vermeulen, P. A. M. & Curseu, P. L. (2010). Entrepreneurial strategic decision-making: A cognitive perspective. Cheltenham, UK: Edward Elgar.
Thomas, O. (2018). Two decades of cognitive bias research in entrepreneurship: What do we know and where do we go from here?. Management Review Quarterly68(2), 107-143.
Zhang, S. X. & Cueto, J. (2017). The study of bias in entrepreneurship. Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, 41(3): 419-454.